- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: Roku
The Houston Astros (-118) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-102) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.
This season, the Astros are 23-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 25-21 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-4, 3.58 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 3-2, 4.35 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -118 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -105 | -102 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+18.40 Units / 263% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+9.42 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 24-21 against the Run Line (+4.77 Units / 8.37% ROI).
- 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -14.65% ROI
- 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 5.81% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 25-21 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1.86% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.57% ROI
- 15-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -36.3% ROI
- 31-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.35 Units / 27.44% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Higashioka (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Framber Valdez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (324/528) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (381/626) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
52% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has an ERA of 6.32 (15.2 IP)this month (3 games) — tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 3.24 — third Percentile.
Jack Leiter has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 5th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 16th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (3-for-24) against Jack Leiter when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 5th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .241 — 92nd Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Astros are 101-81 (.555) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are 84-51 (.622) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Astros (10th best runs scored) today.
The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Rangers are just 20-30 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are 12-1 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .820.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances lasted only one pitch (926/6,107 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rangers are batting just .302 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,233 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Astros pitchers have struck out in the zone 36% of the time over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
More MLB Reading:
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