- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (+115) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Astros are 24-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 20-26 ATS.
Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Colton Gordon 0-0, 6.24 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-5, 3.96 ERA
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -120 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 9 +100 | -140 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.20 Units / 253% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+13.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+8.42 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 24-22 against the Run Line (+3.77 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 19-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -16.52% ROI
- 25-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 7.65% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 20-26 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -13.86% ROI).
- 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.77 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 18-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -20.8% ROI
- 26-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 13.02% ROI
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -295 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Colton Gordon (HOU) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colton Gordon has limited playing time.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were 50-37 (.575) after a win in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Astros are 96-71 (.575) after a loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Astros are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 15-148 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .823.
The Rays are 8-94 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .342 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .365 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had an OBP of .330 (4,837 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 62% of the time this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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