- The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Astros / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (+105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Astros are 25-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 20-27 ATS.
Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Walter 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-5, 4.31 ERA
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | O 9 +100 | +105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -120 | -125 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.20 Units / 203% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.90 Units / 161% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+9.42 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 25-22 against the Run Line (+4.77 Units / 8% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -2.74% ROI
- 19-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -18.23% ROI
- 26-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 9.4% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 20-27 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -15.34% ROI).
- 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.17 Units / -13.82% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -22.4% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 14.67% ROI
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Brandon Walter (BOS) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 76% (155/203) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (77/240) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 74% of Zack Littell’s pitches (151/203) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 60% of the time (94/157) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 48-47 (.505) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Rays (29th best runs scored) today.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Rays are 131-22 (.856) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rays are 69-7 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .338 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .667 (5,841 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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