- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-150) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+125) on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Astros are 25-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 20-28 ATS.
Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-2, 1.42 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-3, 4.80 ERA
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -102 | -150 |
| Rays | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -118 | +125 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+19.10 Units / 239% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.90 Units / 132% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Taj Bradley has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Taj Bradley has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.42 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+0.38 Units / 1% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 26-22 against the Run Line (+5.77 Units / 9.39% ROI).
- 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -20.17% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 11.19% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 20-28 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -16.78% ROI).
- 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.17 Units / -11.86% ROI
- 18-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -24.23% ROI
- 28-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 16.4% ROI
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 23 opportunities (35%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .173 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
51% of Hunter Brown’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (9-for-76) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch in-zone of just 49% (105/213) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (20-for-70) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 10th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (41/74) against Taj Bradley this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OBP of .356 (104 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — fifth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 20-18 (.526) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Astros are 96-71 (.575) after a loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 5-23 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Rays are 35-136 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .401 (232 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros are batting .330 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .299 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .582 (560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 45 double plays in 312 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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