- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Astros vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Royals TV Channel: SCHN | FDKC | KSMO
The Houston Astros (-135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO.
This season, the Astros are 13-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 12-16 ATS.
Astros vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 3-1, 1.15 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 2-1, 1.44 ERA
Astros vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Astros vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 45% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 14-12 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 9.53% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -8.71% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -33.22% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 24.83% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 12-16 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -22.47% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 9-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -34.21% ROI
- 18-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 25.96% ROI
Royals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .135 against Hunter Brown vs right-handed batters this season — third best among qualified SPs– 97th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .279 (85-for-305) against him last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 11 opportunities (55%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .132 (68 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .078 (5-for-64) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has thrown his slider 53% of the time (32/61) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 72% (99/138) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .387 (12 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 15th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of just .267 (31 Total Bases / 116 ABs) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 90th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 144-27 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 47-45 (.511) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 4-58 (.065) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Royals are just 22-67 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,042/7,063 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,486 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters are slugging just .306 this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 60% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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