- The Astros are -235 favorites vs the White Sox
- Astros vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / White Sox TV Channel: SCHN | CHSN
The Houston Astros (-235) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+195) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Astros are 16-14 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 16-15 ATS.
Astros vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 1-3, 4.04 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 1-3, 4.50 ERA
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 +115 | O 7.5 -105 | -235 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -140 | U 7.5 -115 | +195 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 17-13 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 15.01% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -16.69% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 7.63% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 16-15 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 8-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -31.94% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -7.6% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -1.18% ROI
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
7 of Framber Valdez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (344/575) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 42% of his pitches inside (302/710) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jonathan Cannon has 5 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 14 days — most in AL over the last two weeks — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 39% (25/65) versus Jonathan Cannon with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has an ERA of 7.43 (46.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-69 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros are just 5-11 (.312) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 85-38 (.691) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .439 (123 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Astros hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,062/7,218 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (9,816 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .276 (4,359 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,220 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,391 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox allowed 1.70 runs per game (275/162) in late innings in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
More MLB Reading:
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