The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria, AZ.
This season, the Athletics are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 7-8 ATS.
Athletics vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +155 |
| Padres | -190 |
Athletics vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 9-3 against the Run Line (+6.97 Units / 46.94% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.82 Units / 36.99% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.76% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -7.88% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.56 Units / 2.95% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.57 Units / -34.6% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.53 Units / 26.65% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling had a strikeout rate of just 7% (7/94) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Ross Stripling walked 16 of 381 batters (4%) in the 2023 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents batted .306 against Ross Stripling on low changeups in the 2023 season — seventh-worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– eighth Percentile. Opponents batted just .121 (13-for-107) against him on low changeups last season — fourth-best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 95th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (143 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of 48% (154/323) against Joe Musgrove with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH against his fastballs since last season (266 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 90.6
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (7/50) against Joe Musgrove on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.6 MPH on inside pitches since last season (261 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 32-70 (.314) after a home loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Padres are just 6-121 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 5.48 (1419.2 IP) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after scoring a run on offense in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 96 times since last season — fewest in MLB.
Padres vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
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