- The Orioles are -225 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-225) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 50-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 57-51 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Paolo Espino 0-0, 7.72 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 12-4, 3.84 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -120 | +180 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -115 | U 9.5 +100 | -225 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 33 games (+45.15 Units / 137% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 33 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 19 of his last 50 games (+39.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+18.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 14 games (+15.70 Units / 100% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 62% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 38 games (+20.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 away games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 93 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-59 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -14.77% ROI).
- 50-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -11.08% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 5.14% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.05 Units / -14.35% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 57-51 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 11.04% ROI).
- 64-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 58-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.55 Units / 13.27% ROI
- 39-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.1 Units / -21.23% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| James McCann (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Paolo Espino (WSH) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .472 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .329 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (51/158) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .280 (60-for-214) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 14th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of just 18% (31 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 8-51 (.136) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 32-26 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 43-28 (.606) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 53-30 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 58-5 (.921) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 429 strikeouts in 2,275 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 675 strikeouts in 3,514 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .370 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Blue Jays are batting .257 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .799 (1,295 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters are slugging .455 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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