- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 73-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 79-74 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 16-9, 3.45 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 6-5, 5.59 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+17.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 121% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 50% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 57 away games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+55.80 Units / 155% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.72 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 150 games (+25.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+16.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 144 games (+14.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 75-78 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -8.36% ROI).
- 73-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -7.45% ROI
- 78-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.08 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 70-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -9.66% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 79-74 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -1.97% ROI).
- 75-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.11 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 67-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 81-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 4.5% ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander (TB) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .312 (29-for-93) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (332/570) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (332/570) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (265/1,274) against Jose Berrios this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (27/192) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strike rate of 74% (272/368) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 35% (183 SO in 522 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (419/598) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 12-123 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are 130-5 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 85-56 (.603) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,965 strikeouts in 10,321 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .257 on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .744 (14,109 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Blue Jays are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .260 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .365 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 426 of 5,702 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,249 of 17,626 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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