- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA | ESPN+
The Toronto Blue Jays (+135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-160) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 63-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 59-70 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 12-9, 3.80 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-8, 4.70 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -105 | +135 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -160 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 50 games (+42.05 Units / 84% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games (+24.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 61 games (+22.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 86 games (+23.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 129 games (+7.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 129 games (+7.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 64-67 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -7.35% ROI).
- 63-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 71-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 57-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -14.88% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-70 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.69% ROI).
- 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.24% ROI
- 68-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.85 Units / 5.51% ROI
- 55-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.1 Units / -13.49% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .326 (28-for-86) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (634/1,120) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (230/1,112) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 22% (179 SO in 808 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 21st Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (42/155) against Nick Pivetta this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .721 (467 Total Bases / 648 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (108/600) against Nick Pivetta when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed 8 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 7-23 (.233) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 43-29 (.597) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 15-33 (.312) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Red Sox are just 12-17 (.414) after a home win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Red Sox are just 5-191 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 29-34 (.460) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 736 strikeouts in 3,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 241 walks in 2,516 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .325 (5,648 PA’s) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 419 strikeouts in 1,492 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .394 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox hitters have 1,157 strikeouts in 4,617 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 787 strikeouts in 3,070 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 276 of 4,062 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 180 of 2,597 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this month (22 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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