- The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 65-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 59-72 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-5, 4.43 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 5-4, 4.45 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -105 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -115 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 37 games (+38.85 Units / 105% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 48 games (+30.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+9.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 131 games (+5.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-67 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -6.11% ROI).
- 65-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 72-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 57-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -15.58% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-72 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -12.7% ROI).
- 67-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -2.23% ROI
- 69-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.85 Units / 6.17% ROI
- 55-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.3 Units / -14.22% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has walked 29 of 254 batters (11%) this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed three-ball counts to 26% of batters they faced (67/254 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (17/63) against Yariel Rodriguez on sliders this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 40% — seventh Percentile.
47 of Yariel Rodriguez’s 63 strikeouts (75%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 93rd Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cooper Criswell has not struck out any hitters in 23 PA’s vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — tied for lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 54% of the time (223/410) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has a strike rate of just 56% (119/212) this month (4 games) — tied for 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (20-for-60) against Cooper Criswell’s low curves and sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .194 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are just 12-59 (.169) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Blue Jays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 3-126 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 12-17 (.414) after a home win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Red Sox are just 17-18 (.486) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Red Sox are 54-12 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 736 strikeouts in 3,756 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .231 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .355 (625 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 420 strikeouts in 1,496 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,158 strikeouts in 4,621 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 13 strikeouts in 31 PA’s (42%) against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .258 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 276 of 4,071 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 181 of 2,606 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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