- The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 65-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 60-72 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-12, 4.43 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 11-6, 5.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 38 games (+37.85 Units / 100% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+36.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 46 away games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 132 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-68 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -7% ROI).
- 65-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -6.97% ROI
- 72-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 5.62% ROI
- 58-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.7 Units / -14.78% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 60-72 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -11.77% ROI).
- 68-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 69-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 5.37% ROI
- 56-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.3 Units / -13.41% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (27/181) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (234/1,121) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (168 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.8
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (97/541) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Brayan Bello has walked 10 of 61 left-handed batters (16%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Brayan Bello has walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 16-34 (.320) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 8-24 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 13-60 (.178) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 54-184 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Red Sox are just 29-121 (.193) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Red Sox are just 30-36 (.455) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Red Sox are just 34-35 (.493) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 737 strikeouts in 3,764 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Blue Jays are batting .249 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .398 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox hitters have 11 strikeouts in 21 PA’s (52%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .329 (4,637 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox hitters have 425 strikeouts in 1,512 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 277 of 4,088 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Red Sox pitchers this month (24 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an OBP of .448 (116 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 182 of 2,624 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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