- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Brewers
- Braves vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Brewers TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | FDWI
The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+120) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Braves are 28-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 33-33 ATS.
Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-4, 3.23 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 3-5, 2.87 ERA
Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+10.50 Units / 262% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.12 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games (+0.31 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 27-38 against the Run Line (-10.72 Units / -14.03% ROI).
- 28-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.28 Units / -25.77% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -19.86% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 11.82% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 33-33 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -6.43% ROI).
- 36-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 25-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.5 Units / -25.81% ROI
- 40-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.7 Units / 17.13% ROI
Brewers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed a SLG of just .294 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 91st Percentile but .445 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 17th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 72% (374/522) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (305/522) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 2% of right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (34/96) against Chad Patrick this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (22/96) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (56/201) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (22/76) against Chad Patrick in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Braves are just 5-16 (.238) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Brewers (fourth best runs allowed) today.
The Braves are just 19-7 (.731) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Braves are just 19-5 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Braves were 35-31 (.530) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Brewers are 53-5 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers are 31-18 (.633) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 218-171 (.560) since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 82-23 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .214 at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 86 total hits (just 24%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters had a groundball batting average of .281 in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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