- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
- Braves vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Cubs TV Channel: BSSO | MARQ | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 28-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 26-24 ATS.
Braves vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: AJ Smith-Shawver 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 3.57 ERA
Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+15.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+14.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games at home (+11.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 32 games (+20.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 23-23 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 2.22% ROI).
- 28-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 15-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -32.94% ROI
- 29-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 24.49% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 26-24 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 8.64% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -18.13% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 8.83% ROI
Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
| AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 67% (24 SO in 36 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (28/45) against Ben Brown vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.1 MPH this season (93 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.1 MPH (93 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 89.1 — 0 Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 34-56 (.378) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 17-60 (.221) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 85-46 (.649) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are just 40-39 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are 26-21 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .570 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Braves hitters are slugging .499 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .815 (3,510 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .260 (4,387 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .478 (209 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
26% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .419 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.0 MPH (1,093 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 22 double plays in 380 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (226.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Cubs vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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