- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Braves / Mets TV Channel: FS1 | BSSE | SNY
The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+130) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 23-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 18-19 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-1, 4.19 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-0, 1.35 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Mets | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 +100 | +130 |
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+10.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+9.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 18-17 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 2.98% ROI).
- 23-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 6.38% ROI
- 12-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -28.01% ROI
- 21-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 20.31% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-19 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -1.29% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -2.85% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.18% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Scott (NYM) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (61/83) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 81.4 MPH (71 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (30/40) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH since last season (277 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Christian Scott has thrown his slider 48% of the time (45/94) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .111 (2-for-18) against Christian Scott — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .228 — 92nd Percentile.
Christian Scott allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .370 — 98th Percentile.
Christian Scott has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (41/75) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 34-53 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 49-46 (.516) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 29-35 (.453) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are just 7-135 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Mets are 167-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mets are 154-16 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mets are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .464 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .584 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves hitters are slugging .506 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .827 (7,588 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .815 (268 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.047.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (9,571 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .620 (739 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mets are batting just .230 at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.8 MPH (815 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season (815 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 165 of 1,427 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 41 of 334 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
![state-promo-featured-betmgm-1500-first-bet-offer First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500](https://ekcfbmsotzc.exactdn.com/en/blog/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/state-promo-featured-betmgm-1500-first-bet-offer.jpg?strip=all&lossy=1&ssl=1)