- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 24-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 24-24 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-2, 4.57 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 3-3, 4.30 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | +155 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.10 Units / 202% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.97 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.27 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.50 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+3.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 21-25 against the Run Line (-3.97 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.03 Units / -11.38% ROI
- 18-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -18.22% ROI
- 25-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 10.53% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 24-24 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -6.26% ROI).
- 21-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.97 Units / -3.9% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -3.35% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -4.59% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Eli White (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has not walked any of the 27 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 38% (44/116) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .302 (54-for-179) against Bryce Elder since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.
Bryce Elder allowed an OBP of .370 (184 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — fourth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 23-126 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Braves are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Braves are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Braves are 46-44 (.511) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Nationals (25th best runs scored) today.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 155-182 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Nationals are just 27-95 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are 19-15 (.559) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (4,824 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .366 against Nationals pitchers this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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