- The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Phillies
- Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Phillies TV Channel: TBS | Max | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-115) on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Braves are 25-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 29-24 ATS.
Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 0-2, 6.24 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 3-0, 3.70 ERA
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+20.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+17.30 Units / 247% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+5.58 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 22-29 against the Run Line (-6.72 Units / -11.13% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.53 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -20.61% ROI
- 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 12.87% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 29-24 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 8.66% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -14.96% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 6.97% ROI
Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider (ATL) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in 2023 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in 2023 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (687/1,815) against Spencer Strider since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 43% (106 SO in 244 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (17/70) against Ranger Suarez this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (713/1,353) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (161/283) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2023 season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (14/60) against Ranger Suarez against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 76-61 (.555) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Braves are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Braves are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 8-13 (.381) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Phillies are 33-118 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies are 2-16 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .272 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,565 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Phillies are batting .416 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have struck out 28% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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