- Braves / Rays TV Channel:
The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Charlotte Sports Park to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, February 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Port Charlotte, FL.
Last season, the Braves were 105-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays were 87-77 ATS.
Braves vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Braves | -105 |
| Rays | -115 |
Braves vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 away games (+4.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Braves went 82-84 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -3.93% ROI).
- 105-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 94-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.9 Units / 9.75% ROI
- 69-94 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.05 Units / -18.72% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Rays went 87-77 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 6.17% ROI).
- 99-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 89-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.35 Units / 6.82% ROI
- 70-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.75 Units / -14.88% ROI
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves were 28-46 (.378) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 49% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
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