- The Braves are -170 favorites vs the Rays
- Braves vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (-170) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+140) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Braves are 4-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 4-10 ATS.
Braves vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 0-1, 6.76 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 1-0, 1.39 ERA
Braves vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -102 | O 8 -105 | -170 |
| Rays | +1.5 -118 | U 8 -115 | +140 |
Braves vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+14.90 Units / 166% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jake Mangum has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jake Mangum has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 103 of their last 166 games (+41.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+14.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 86 away games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 98 of their last 162 games (+30.21 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 162 games (+19.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 162 games (+17.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -17.93% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -45.58% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -17.04% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 9.8% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 4-10 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -43.96% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -20.73% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 18.48% ROI
Rays vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Rays vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
36 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has walked 1 of 66 batters (1%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
4 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (27-for-162) against Shane Baz since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Shane Baz has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (22/51) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz has a strikeout rate of 61% (16 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves are just 4-10 (.286) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Braves are 25-103 (.195) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Braves are 96-75 (.561) on the road since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays were 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rays are 77-23 (.770) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Rays are 75-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rays were 16-64 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 34 of 510 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 103 of 1,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Braves vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
