- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 7-6 ATS.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez 0-2, 10.62 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 0-1, 6.31 ERA
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -170 | O 8.5 +100 | +130 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -155 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+25.00 Units / 500% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 167 games (+5.25 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 167 games (+2.60 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 162 games (+20.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+9.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 159 games (+7.88 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-9 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -37.84% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.86% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -10.95% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.77% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 10.94% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -3.04% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Elvin Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (19 Total Bases / 19 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .395 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 0% (0/18) against Elvin Rodriguez by left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Elvin Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of 1.577 (28 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 6% (2/36) against Elvin Rodriguez this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 46% (13 SO in 28 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 60% (12 SO in 20 PAs) this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 51-5 (.911) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Brewers are 52-34 (.605) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (26th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Brewers were 47-34 (.580) at home in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 5-65 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Diamondbacks are 72-17 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 15-57 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .303 with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,147 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 7.92 (50.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
The Brewers have allowed 7.67 runs per game (46/6) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have 229 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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