- The Brewers are +100 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MLBN | FDWX
The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 7-8 ATS.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-1, 2.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-2, 5.18 ERA
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -102 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -118 | -120 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+23.00 Units / 329% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+12.50 Units / 139% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 168 games (+4.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 82 of their last 168 games (+0.50 Units / 0% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 168 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 163 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 163 games (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 87 of their last 160 games (+4.53 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 6-9 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -20.34% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 3.58% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -16.21% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.41% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-8 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -1.39% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (654/1,111) in two strike counts since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .062 (2-for-32) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (35/79) against Zac Gallen this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Zac Gallen this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 47% (29/61) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (40/105) against Zac Gallen this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 52-34 (.605) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (26th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 51-5 (.911) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Brewers were 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 10-132 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks are 22-124 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have 60 extra-base hits out of 202 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,422 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .338 (6,852 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 6.52 (67.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (969.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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