- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Brewers / Giants TV Channel: BSWI | NSBA
The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 83-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 71-74 ATS.
Brewers vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-4, 3.72 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 2-3, 3.62 ERA
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 7 +100 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 7 -120 | -150 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+26.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+18.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+15.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 48 games (+32.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 140 games (+12.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 144 games (+11.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 144 games (+10.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 144 games (+9.04 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games at home (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 113 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 68 games at home (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 74-70 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.56% ROI).
- 83-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.51% ROI
- 75-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.1 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 60-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -14.28% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 71-74 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -4.92% ROI).
- 71-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -9.03% ROI
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Blake Snell (SF) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .124 (12 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 18% (45 SO in 243 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (270/1,115) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (21 SO in 124 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .168 (62-for-368) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (69 Total Bases / 377 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (288/760) against Blake Snell with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (765/2,050) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Brewers are 41-32 (.562) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Brewers are 69-20 (.775) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 33-49 (.402) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Giants are 45-27 (.625) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are 188-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 22-131 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .181 this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .256 (195 PA’s) against RHP this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .125 against LHP this month (8 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Giants hitters have 1,305 strikeouts in 5,251 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .315 (2,163 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Giants are batting just .232 on the road since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1341.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (638.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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