- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Padres TV Channel: BSWI | PDTV | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 44-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 41-40 ATS.
Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 4-2, 3.28 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 5-4, 3.51 ERA
Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+5.19 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+6.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-38 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -2.53% ROI).
- 44-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 9.82% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 7.61% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -15.43% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 41-40 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 3.68% ROI).
- 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -6.81% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -6.97% ROI
Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .123 (8-for-65) against Tobias Myers this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Tobias Myers this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (4-for-39) against Tobias Myers’ elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .382 (71 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .728 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on non-fastballs since the 2022 season (254 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 87.1
Opponents are hitting just .131 (8-for-61) against Michael King with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Michael King has walked 14 of 143 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH (187 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 44-105 (.295) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 30-60 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 38-3 (.927) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Padres are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Padres are just 9-21 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Padres are just 10-12 (.455) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Padres are 93-17 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (just 14%) against LHP this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .289 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .321 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .277 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have just 923 strikeouts in 4,537 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .319 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Padres are batting .444 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (1073.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers have 302 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (5,861 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 27 of 182 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have walked 18 of 113 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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