- The Brewers are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Brewers vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | FDWI | WTOG | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Friday, May 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-21 ATS.
Brewers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 4-1, 2.83 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-5, 4.61 ERA
Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+16.90 Units / 422% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.82 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.65 Units / 58% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-19 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.57% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -17% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 8.54% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 16-21 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -14.13% ROI).
- 16-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -15.29% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.93% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 9.65% ROI
Rays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Jose Quintana (MIL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,519/2,587) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (530/923) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,676/2,819) in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 77% (122/159) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 76% of Zack Littell’s pitches (120/159) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (74/125) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 59% of the time (74/125) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are just 0-15 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Brewers are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Brewers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rays are 14-144 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rays are 4-18 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .668 (5,572 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 35 double plays in 242 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Brewers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
