- The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Brewers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Brewers are 30-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 24-28 ATS.
Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 4-5, 1.94 ERA
Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Red Sox | U |
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+17.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 46 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+17.05 Units / 171% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 27-24 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.43% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 15.08% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 11.05% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -19.07% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-28 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -11.63% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -3.72% ROI
- 19-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -23.55% ROI
- 30-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 15.76% ROI
Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (48/241) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .957 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — fourth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .321 (26-for-81) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (103/178) against Tanner Houck this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .299 (140 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (66/104) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .129 (13 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Brewers are 42-98 (.300) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 28-53 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 49-15 (.766) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Brewers are 24-17 (.585) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Red Sox are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Red Sox are just 3-162 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 16-150 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Red Sox are just 46-63 (.422) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 41 times (9%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 138 of 1,926 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (235.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.11 runs per game (84/27) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Red Sox vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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