- The Brewers are +105 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 33-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 32-28 ATS.
Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-3, 2.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 4-3, 2.62 ERA
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -118 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +170 | U 8.5 -102 | -125 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.30 Units / 219% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 75% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 31-28 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -2.28% ROI).
- 33-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 6.61% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -23.52% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 14.62% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-28 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.66% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -8.98% ROI
- 24-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -22.63% ROI
- 36-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 14.11% ROI
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 40% of his pitches in the strike zone (209/521) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 42% of his pitches in the strike zone (476/1,141) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (1,238/2,024) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 35% of his pitches in the strike zone (78/225) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 218 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (120/310) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
57% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 62% of Hunter Greene’s fastballs (318/516) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 53-5 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 216-167 (.564) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Reds are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .343 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Reds hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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