Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

Reds player Tyler Stephenson looking discontented.
(AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
  • The Brewers are +100 favorites vs the Reds
  • Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Brewers / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDWI

The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 33-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 33-28 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 1-0, 1.69 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-0, 1.51 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +165O 9 -118+100
Reds +1.5 -200U 9 -102-120

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.75 Units / 234% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.22 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.05 Units / 32% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 31-29 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -4.46% ROI).

  • 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 23-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -24.8% ROI
  • 36-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.75 Units / 15.87% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 33-28 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -7.49% ROI
  • 24-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -23.95% ROI
  • 37-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 15.35% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +225 0.5 -285
Eric Haase (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
DL Hall (MIL) 2.5 +100 2.5 -130
Andrew Abbott (CIN) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from DL Hall. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

DL Hall has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.2 innings pitched — Camilo Doval has the longest active streak at 22.1.

DL Hall has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to August 30th, 2024 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (3/15) against Andrew Abbott’s away fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (30/116) against Andrew Abbott this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (35/127) against Andrew Abbott’s low breaking balls since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 38-32 (.543) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.

The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 47-34 (.580) at home in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 4-89 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Reds hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Reds are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.