- The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Brewers vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSWI | ESPN+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-165) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+140) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Brewers are 37-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-35 ATS.
Brewers vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 4-3, 3.78 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-3, 4.67 ERA
Brewers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | -165 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | +140 |
Brewers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+22.50 Units / 562% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+7.64 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 35-28 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 4.55% ROI).
- 37-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 13.86% ROI
- 35-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 9.6% ROI
- 26-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -17.82% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 28-35 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -11.54% ROI).
- 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 12.72% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -22.09% ROI
Tigers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (72/198) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 59% (89 SO in 150 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (180/532) against Freddy Peralta this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 34% (46/135) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .371 (33-for-89) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 0 Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed a BABIP of .409 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .286 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .357 (41-for-115) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .400 (95 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Brewers are 30-54 (.357) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 11-15 (.423) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .190.
The Brewers are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Brewers are 90-15 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Tigers are just 19-6 (.760) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.
The Tigers are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Tigers are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.
The Tigers are just 26-148 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,896 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,059 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Brewers are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .884 (124 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,869 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (14,295 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .220 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.65 (1005.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.84 runs per game (445/116) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 295 of 3,434 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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