Brewers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

Chicago White Sox first base Miguel Vargas (20) during their spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Saturday, March 8, 2025, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
  • The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Brewers vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Brewers / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | FDWI

The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.

This season, the Brewers are 15-15 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 15-14 ATS.

Brewers vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-0, 4.50 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 1-1, 2.31 ERA

Brewers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +110O 7.5 +100-160
White Sox +1.5 -135U 7.5 -120+135

Brewers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.95 Units / 93% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+15.10 Units / 216% ROI)
  • Jacob Amaya has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jacob Amaya has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.07 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 16-14 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.25% ROI).

  • 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -13.6% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 5.62% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 15-14 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.29% ROI).

  • 7-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -35.34% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -7.52% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.94% ROI

White Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Jake Bauers (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

White Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235

White Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tobias Myers (MIL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Shane Smith (CWS) 4.5 +135 4.5 -175

Tobias Myers allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (32 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (44/79) against Tobias Myers when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .212 (132 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.

Tobias Myers allowed an OPS of just .434 (124 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Shane Smith when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.

Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .146 (6 Total Bases / 41 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (17/131) against Shane Smith in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Shane Smith when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Brewers are 55-38 (.591) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the White Sox (28th best runs allowed) today.

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Brewers are 51-5 (.911) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The White Sox are just 31-111 (.218) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.

The White Sox are just 93-12 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The White Sox are just 107-204 (.344) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The White Sox are just 109-244 (.309) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters have 62 extra-base hits out of 223 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Brewers hitters have 7 extra-base hits out of 41 total hits (just 17%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (9,756 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,314 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .279 (5,160 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.