- The Brewers are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
- Brewers vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-185) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+150) on Thursday, May 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Brewers are 16-15 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 15-15 ATS.
Brewers vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-2, 2.52 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 1-4, 6.01 ERA
Brewers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -110 | -185 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -110 | +150 |
Brewers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.95 Units / 93% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+11.15 Units / 124% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+14.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.15 Units / 116% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.07 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 17-14 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 3.06% ROI).
- 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.17% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.21% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 15-15 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -4.1% ROI).
- 7-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -37.5% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -4.24% ROI
White Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
White Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Palacios (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke (CWS) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/30) against Chad Patrick over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/30) against Chad Patrick in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Chad Patrick has allowed an OPS of just .242 (22 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .693 — 100th Percentile.
Chad Patrick has a strike rate of just 56% (113/200) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has thrown his fastball for a strike just 52% (110/211) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (22/126) against Sean Burke this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (20/77) against Sean Burke with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.
Sean Burke has a strike rate of just 57% (139/245) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Brewers are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .078.
The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Brewers are 111-88 (.558) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Brewers are 61-47 (.565) after a win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 38-24 (.613) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 90-23 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have 8 extra-base hits out of 43 total hits (just 19%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters had a groundball batting average of .281 in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers batted .260 on the road in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .618 (5,870 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (6,903 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 58% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 21% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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