- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+118) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on Sunday, March 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Brewers are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 2-0 ATS.
Brewers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Brewers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -170 | O 8.5 -115 | +118 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -140 |
Brewers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in his last game (+14.00 Units / 1400% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 80% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.25 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 2 games (+15.50 Units / 775% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 164 games (+6.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 0-2 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 135% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 64.52% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Yankees vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale had a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– eighth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count last season (fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2023 season is 383.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
Aaron Civale struck out just 18% (63/356) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Aaron Civale allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (19 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on fastballs away in the 2024 season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 85th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .296 against Marcus Stroman vs left-handed batters last season — third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– third Percentile. Left handed batters hit just .194 (53-for-273) against him in the 2023 season — fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 97th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman located 61% of his pitches away (1,616/2,667) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 54% of the time (1,197/2,227) since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 76% of the time (1,039/1,360) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 37-85 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Brewers are 47-32 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Pirates (21st best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Brewers are 102-82 (.554) after a win since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 81-23 (.779) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are just 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
The Brewers are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Brewers hitters had 55 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .855 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 43% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .435 (85 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.290 (85 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 12.38 (16.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 16 batters (31%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .855 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
More MLB Reading:
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