- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Cardinals are 28-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 25-36 ATS.
Cardinals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 1-1, 3.94 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 3-5, 6.03 ERA
Cardinals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -120 | +135 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 9 +100 | -160 |
Cardinals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 13 games (+19.45 Units / 150% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 91% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+25.50 Units / 364% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 46 games (+20.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 28-30 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -7.04% ROI).
- 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -12.69% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 4.65% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 25-36 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -15.02% ROI).
- 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -20.66% ROI
- 22-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.15 Units / -25.75% ROI
- 36-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.75 Units / 17.36% ROI
Astros vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (206/279) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (206/279) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .363 (49-for-135) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .453 (161 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .300 — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 14 of 76 batters (18%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.084 (49 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .718 — second Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.0 innings pitched — Emmanuel Clase has the longest active streak at 20.1.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .490 (49 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals are 29-12 (.707) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-103 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cardinals are 32-23 (.582) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 18-28 (.391) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros are 179-19 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Astros are 64-46 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Astros are 48-31 (.608) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are 125-95 (.568) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .606 (656 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Cardinals are batting just .206 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 755 strikeouts in 4,327 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,168/8,564 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are slugging .498 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Astros have won 91% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros have allowed 3.78 runs per game (719/190) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Astros vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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