- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSMW | ESPN+ | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Cardinals are 28-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 26-36 ATS.
Cardinals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-6, 5.57 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 5-1, 2.46 ERA
Cardinals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Cardinals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+24.90 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+16.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+24.50 Units / 306% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+18.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+3.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 28-31 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -8.8% ROI).
- 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -10.93% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 2.67% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 26-36 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -13.05% ROI).
- 28-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.95 Units / -19.16% ROI
- 23-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.15 Units / -23.89% ROI
- 36-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 15.31% ROI
Astros vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Carpenter (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (79 Total Bases / 141 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .319 (45-for-141) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .747 (138 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .487 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .254 (32-for-126) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 16 of 90 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (18-for-96) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (30/74) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (24/151) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals are 29-12 (.707) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-93 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are just 18-28 (.391) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Cardinals are just 6-104 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros are 97-65 (.599) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Astros are 18-18 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Astros are just 23-88 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Astros are 107-29 (.787) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,221 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Cardinals are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 755 strikeouts in 4,328 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 107 strikeouts in 677 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 13 strikeouts in 124 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Astros hitters have just 434 strikeouts in 2,478 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Astros pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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