Cardinals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

Atlanta Braves shortstop Orlando Arcia (11) works against the Philadelphia Phillies in the third inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Braves TV Channel: FDMW | FDSO | FDSE

The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Monday, April 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.

This season, the Cardinals are 9-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-12 ATS.

Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 1-2, 3.54 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-1, 2.56 ERA

Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -140O 8.5 -105+155
Braves -1.5 +115U 8.5 -115-190

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Erick Fedde has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 166 games (+36.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+15.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 11-11 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -11.63% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -19.14% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 8.25% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -17.6% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -12.92% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -29.76% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.65% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -3.7% ROI

Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alex Verdugo (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Erick Fedde (STL) 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) 5.5 -110 5.5 -118

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (566/989) in two strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (589/1,180) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 57% (522/908) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (520/989) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .106 (5-for-47) against Spencer Schwellenbach’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .205 — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .135 (5-for-37) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — tied for 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (14/34) against Spencer Schwellenbach on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .230 — 95th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cardinals are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Cardinals are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .034.

The Cardinals are 29-21 (.580) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals are 72-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Braves are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Braves are just 8-13 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves are 201-144 (.583) since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are batting .213 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Cardinals are batting just .180 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cardinals are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Braves hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 42% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.