Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

min read
Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 12, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: ESPN+ | BSWI | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cardinals are 15-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-17 ATS.

Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-5, 6.49 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-1, 2.40 ERA

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -165O 9 -115+120
Brewers -1.5 +135U 9 -105-145

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 36 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+18.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+18.30 Units / 131% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-21 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 15-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -25.4% ROI
  • 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -21.76% ROI
  • 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 13.48% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 22-17 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 3.13% ROI).

  • 24-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 22.02% ROI
  • 24-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 18.48% ROI
  • 15-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -25.9% ROI

Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Matt Carpenter (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryse Wilson (MIL) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Miles Mikolas (STL) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Opponents are hitting .284 (23-for-81) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .494 (40 Total Bases / 81 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (48 Total Bases / 69 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has walked 11 of 369 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (148/774) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (148/774) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (90/465) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (32/198) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 48-52 (.480) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Cardinals are just 19-28 (.404) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 27-50 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Brewers are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Brewers are 29-28 (.509) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .266 (408 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Cardinals are batting just .182 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Cardinals are batting just .232 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .553 (408 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

team hitters – home

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
  • Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.