- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: Roku
The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 34-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 35-36 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 4-6, 4.87 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 3.09 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 10.5 +100 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 10.5 -120 | -135 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 away games (+21.90 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+19.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+14.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 35-34 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -3.2% ROI).
- 34-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -18.35% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 10.03% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 35-36 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.6% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -16.52% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 7.96% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .543 (88 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .347 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (91/546) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (44/288) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .403 (58 Total Bases / 144 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Jameson Taillon when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (9/122 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of .529 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 451 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 31-13 (.705) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-107 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 9-95 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Cubs are just 6-90 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
The Cubs are just 5-171 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Cardinals are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (779 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Cubs are batting .293 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .529 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 134 of 2,040 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 39 of 609 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (5,801 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Cubs pitchers this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 509 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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