- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSMW | DBTV | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-5 ATS.
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-1, 4.86 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 2-0, 2.25 ERA
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 85% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 36.2% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -24.38% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 19.38% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 16.83% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -9.71% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (3/29) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (30/66) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (30/66) this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Zac Gallen has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (38/91) with two-strikes this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (10/17) against Zac Gallen this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are 27-18 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are just 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 140-14 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 124-23 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 34-15 (.694) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are 73-18 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .371 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 5 walks in 134 PA’s (4%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are batting .166 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 39 of 568 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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