- The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cardinals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 36-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 30-43 ATS.
Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 5-2, 3.43 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -105 | O 8 -110 | -175 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -110 | +145 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 63.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 26 games (+17.45 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+19.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+15.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 36-36 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -4.12% ROI).
- 36-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -6.89% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.8 Units / -16.35% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 8.2% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 30-43 against the Run Line (-27.26 Units / -27.11% ROI).
- 24-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.25 Units / -28.42% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 4.11% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -11.7% ROI
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Yonny Chirinos (ATL) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 43% (67/156) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (396/696) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (158/291) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (127/248) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are 32-14 (.696) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-18 (.100) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
The Cardinals are just 19-31 (.380) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Cardinals are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 8-8 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Marlins are just 20-16 (.556) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Marlins are just 7-16 (.304) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Marlins are just 17-32 (.347) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .277 (837 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .607 (837 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .679 (2,397 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .200 (1,342 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have 158 extra-base hits out of 543 total hits (just 29%) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .553 (843 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (904 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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