- The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+110) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 12-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 13-12 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-1, 1.04 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-2, 7.45 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 15-11 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 12.26% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -8.67% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -33.74% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 25.96% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 13-12 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 5.39% ROI).
- 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 4.81% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.6% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -8.43% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 48% (12 SO in 25 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .177 (51 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .287 (85 Total Bases / 296 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .124 (27 Total Bases / 218 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (350/469) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (507/1,313) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (1,519/2,194) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 55% (719/1,313) of the time since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 14-25 (.359) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Cardinals are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are just 19-46 (.292) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 3-81 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 17-29 (.370) after a road loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Mets are 152-14 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mets are 164-2 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .322 (10,163 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 414.2 feet this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.5.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets hitters have just 36 strikeouts in 233 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have drawn 14 walks in 233 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 105 of 1,661 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 111 of 965 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (244/965 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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