The St. Louis Cardinals (-120) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on Saturday, March 16, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-6 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -120 |
| Nationals | +100 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Drew Millas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 2-13 against the Run Line (-12.69 Units / -73.31% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.68 Units / -30.49% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.67 Units / -16.11% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.62 Units / 9.85% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 11-6 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 18.1% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 62.4% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.26 Units / 6.65% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.96 Units / -15.95% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .359 (142 Total Bases / 396 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 4-76 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 39-64 (.379) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 39-164 (.192) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 63-43 (.594) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Nationals are just 21-36 (.368) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals have hit 1,079 balls in play with an exit velocity over 100 MPH in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Lower Leg, Out
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, Out
- Joey Meneses (Washington Nationals): Knee, Out
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dominic Smith (Washington Nationals): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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