- The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Nationals TV Channel: ATV
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Friday, May 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Cardinals are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-19 ATS.
Cardinals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 2-3, 4.87 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 3-2, 3.46 ERA
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+12.15 Units / 152% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 89% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 20-18 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -5.51% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 10.56% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -20.02% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-19 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -4.84% ROI).
- 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.13% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -12.1% ROI
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 +145 | 4.5 -190 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has allowed an OBP of .368 (76 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 50% (539/1,077) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (649/1,287) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (613/1,071) in two strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has walked 19% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Mitchell Parker on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — 98th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 12% (21 SO in 176 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (15/119) against Mitchell Parker this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Cardinals are just 4-13 (.235) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Cardinals are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Cardinals are just 10-154 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are 2-20 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 34-53 (.386) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Nationals are just 62-95 (.392) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .353 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cardinals are batting .212 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 23% on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Nationals have allowed 2.32 runs per game (88/38) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.69 (115.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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