- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: ESPN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 27-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 34-25 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-3, 3.46 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-1, 5.63 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -105 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -115 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+13.75 Units / 125% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.75 Units / 84% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+6.80 Units / 170% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 14 games at home (+16.70 Units / 119% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 42 games (+25.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games (+18.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 42 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games (+17.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 27-29 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -12.98% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 4.98% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 34-25 against the Run Line (+10 Units / 13.92% ROI).
- 41-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 13.96% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -3% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 58% of the time (578/988) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 40% (19 SO in 48 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 14 of 93 batters (15%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 58% of the time (578/988) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (35/232) against Taijuan Walker this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 146 of Taijuan Walker’s 735 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .417 (15 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/44) against Taijuan Walker over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-103 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 51-53 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cardinals are just 9-92 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 33-126 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Phillies are 10-78 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .616 (639 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Cardinals are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .330 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .346 (784 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Phillies have scored first in 81% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .380 (258 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 126 of 1,925 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .130 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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