- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 32-25 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-5, 5.68 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 6-2, 3.07 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -115 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -190 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+15.75 Units / 175% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games at home (+14.80 Units / 123% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 away games (+2.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 40 games (+25.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+16.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 27-27 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -6.21% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -11.69% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 3.45% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 32-25 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 10.96% ROI).
- 39-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 12.4% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.7% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .767 (125 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .326 (42-for-129) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .263 (30-for-114) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .439 (50 Total Bases / 114 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .145 (62 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (5 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .234 (671 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (276/771) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .236 (140 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 94th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-101 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cardinals are just 26-34 (.433) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Phillies are 10-78 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Phillies are 38-70 (.352) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Phillies are 26-33 (.441) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .241 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .627 (624 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .339 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (624 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .335 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .387 (248 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Phillies are batting .376 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .335 (4,394 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .131 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
