- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | FDMX
The St. Louis Cardinals (-125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 3-7 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 0-1, 9.83 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | O 8 +100 | -125 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -120 | +105 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+16.90 Units / 188% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+13.25 Units / 80% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.25 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 5-4 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -2.15% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -19.44% ROI
- 7-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 60.51% ROI
- 1-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -68.16% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -36.63% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -37.95% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -3.27% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore walked 4 of 138 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2024 season — tied for 7th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore walked 4 of 138 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 4 of 140 left-handed batters (3%) since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore’s K:BB ratio was 7.8 (31/4) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .130 (9-for-69) against Carmen Mlodzinski’s elevated fastball since the 2023 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — 91st Percentile.
Carmen Mlodzinski has a strikeout rate of just 25% (15 SO in 59 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 8th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 39% — ninth Percentile.
Carmen Mlodzinski has walked 24 of 213 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2023 season — tied for 8th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .105 (4-for-38) against Carmen Mlodzinski’s elevated fastball since last season — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .200 — 89th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 10-144 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are just 49-50 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Pirates (24th best runs scored) today.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates were just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have scored 3.22 runs per game (29/9) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
The Cardinals are batting .224 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are batting .308 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .306 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 24 strikeouts in 62 PA’s (39%) against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are averaging 4.47 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 11.72 (25.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.67.
The Cardinals have allowed 12.00 runs per game (36/3) on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.84.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.51 (1500.0 IP) at home since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 6 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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