- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: FDMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 4-7 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 1-0, 5.73 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 1-0, 1.46 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | O 6.5 -102 | +115 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +170 | U 6.5 -118 | -135 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+16.50 Units / 412% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+13.65 Units / 82% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.30 Units / 91% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.25 Units / 132% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -26.89% ROI
- 8-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 63.59% ROI
- 1-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -71.3% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -24.91% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -26.42% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.82% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -12.29% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (PIT) | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -325 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (162/455) against Sonny Gray since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 58% (218 SO in 377 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OBP of just .160 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .262 (68 Total Bases / 260 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes had a strikeout rate of 42% (60/144) versus the bottom of the order in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .262 (68 Total Bases / 260 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .415 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strike rate of 70% (85/122) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 10-145 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are 29-19 (.604) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are just 31-70 (.307) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates are just 138-10 (.932) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 40-47 (.460) after a loss in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .223 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are batting .296 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Cardinals have scored 26 runs in late innings this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .851 (418 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 31 strikeouts in 92 PA’s (34%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .701 (1,929 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Pirates hitters struck out 417 times in 1,598 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have allowed 11.00 runs per game (44/4) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.78.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 11.07 (33.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Pirates pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 8 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have 280 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 459.1 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
More MLB Reading:
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