- The Cardinals are -118 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: FDMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Wednesday, April 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 4-8 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 1-1, 7.28 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-1, 7.45 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +154 | O 7.5 +100 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -120 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+15.90 Units / 159% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+10.30 Units / 87% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 106% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.78% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -15.5% ROI
- 9-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 66.11% ROI
- 1-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -73.88% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 4-8 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -29.97% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -33.94% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 10% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -19.77% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (545/947) in two strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (567/1,127) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 57% (522/908) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has located his pitches away 63% of the time (598/947) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .314 (77-for-245) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (82-for-261) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .552 (144 Total Bases / 261 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed an OPS of .927 (274 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 29-19 (.604) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are just 50-51 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Pirates (24th best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are just 10-145 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 11-33 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .289 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .442 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals have scored 2.82 runs per game (31/11) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.36.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters struck out 417 times in 1,598 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .508 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Pirates hitters have 99 strikeouts in 284 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .283 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 9.14 (42.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,155 of 12,873 batters (9%) since the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.90 (108.1 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 6.13 (47.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.53.
More MLB Reading:
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