- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Thursday, May 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 17-14 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 2-2, 3.20 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 2-0, 3.60 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +154 | O 9 -110 | -105 |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -110 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+19.70 Units / 197% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 15-16 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -13.61% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 4.85% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -13.91% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 17-14 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.46% ROI).
- 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -10.31% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 1.61% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Luken Baker (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has walked 2% of batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has not walked any of the 88 batters that they have faced against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore’s has 18 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore walked 4 of 138 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% (40/151) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (13/85) against Andrew Abbott on sliders in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (4/21) against Andrew Abbott this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 10-152 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Cardinals are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .078.
The Cardinals are just 53-59 (.473) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .078.
The Reds are just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Reds are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .207 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals are batting .361 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .260 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
