- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 25-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 31-23 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 3-2, 3.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 3-4, 2.70 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -115 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+14.60 Units / 122% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 84% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 98% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 75% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-27 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -6.46% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -8.41% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-23 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 7.98% ROI).
- 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -8.94% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -1.1% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (84/177) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (290/518) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 16% (61 SO in 387 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has allowed a slugging percentage of .545 (48 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — fifth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 90 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (82/430) against Andrew Abbott this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
4 of Andrew Abbott’s 17 breaking pitch strikeouts (23%) have been backdoor this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 86th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-101 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 18-28 (.391) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are just 9-90 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are 23-9 (.719) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Reds are 15-88 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .316 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (2,140 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Cardinals are batting just .203 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .104 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Reds are batting just .168 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Reds hitters have drawn 77 walks in 670 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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