- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Cardinals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Tigers TV Channel: BSMW | BSDT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Cardinals are 13-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 12-16 ATS.
Cardinals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-2, 5.55 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 0-1, 5.96 ERA
Cardinals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -120 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 +100 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 74% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 10.14% ROI).
- 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -8.04% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -31.77% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 23.82% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 12-16 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -12.15% ROI).
- 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 10.52% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.49% ROI
Tigers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .309 (80-for-259) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .228 — second Percentile.
Steven Matz has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 31 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .396 (21-for-53) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 0 Percentile.
Steven Matz has a strikeout rate of just 28% (16 SO in 58 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Kenta Maeda’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
15 of Kenta Maeda’s 53 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has allowed 4 home runs at home this season — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (36/71) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are 28-11 (.718) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 48-50 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are 39-12 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are just 22-133 (.142) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are 63-23 (.733) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Tigers are 22-11 (.667) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .591 (289 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cardinals are batting .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (13,010 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 8 of 217 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 272 of 3,127 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.81 (827.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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