- The Twins are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Twins TV Channel: ATV+
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Cardinals are 63-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-65 ATS.
Cardinals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 5-6, 4.02 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-2, 4.96 ERA
Cardinals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 32 games (+26.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+28.50 Units / 130% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 away games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 107 games (+9.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 63-64 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -3.66% ROI).
- 63-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -8.26% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -6.21% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -3.1% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 62-65 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.09% ROI).
- 71-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.56% ROI
- 66-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 4.2% ROI
- 55-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.05 Units / -12.97% ROI
Twins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (323/469) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 74% (296/402) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (187/244) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .380 (579 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .301 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (83/233) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
David Festa has walked 4 of 25 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
David Festa has struck out 40% (14/35) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (12/33) against David Festa this month (3 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 35-18 (.660) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 38-27 (.585) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 16-12 (.571) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Twins are 25-93 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 197-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 83-58 (.589) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Twins are 60-22 (.732) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,016 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Cardinals are just 42-66 (.378) against the run line (-30.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn 82 walks in 1,273 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins have scored 1.78 runs per game (515/289) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
The Twins have scored 1.83 runs per game (233/127) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .800 (2,257 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .261 (1,126 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Twins pitchers have walked 26 of 515 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 66 of 1,128 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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